superintelligencerobot

When will machines outthink us? Here's who said what.

Every major public prediction for human-level AI and superintelligence, plotted against today. Select a bar to read the claim.

Human-level AI (AGI)SuperintelligenceDate already passed

Select any bar for the details.

All predictions

Ranges reflect what the person actually said; "a few thousand days" or "five to ten years" become a span, not a single year.

Type
Status
WhoExpectedTypeSaidThe claim

People define AGI differently, and several avoid the term. We record each claim on its own terms and paraphrase rather than quote. Last reviewed October 2026.